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Analysis: No war, but no peace either

• Pakistan-India ties still trapped by Delhi’s intransigence, US failure to create political process after ceasefire • Islamabad’s institutional coherence shattered New Delhi’s illusions it was dealing with ‘weak neighbour’ • Water war takes centre stage as Indus treaty remains ‘unilaterally held in abeyance’ THE fighting lasted barely 90 hours, but the political consequences have proved far more durable. While neither India nor Pakistan got what they expected from the flare-up of 2025, very few could have predicted that less than a year later, it would be Pakistan that emerged as the diplomatic lynchpin in the region, while India remained relegated to the side-lines. Today, the relationship between the two neighbours remains frozen in an unusually rigid state; there is no war, but there is no diplomacy worth the name, either. The border is shut, trade is suspended and the Indus Waters Treaty remains unilaterally held in abeyance by New Delhi. Military hotlines between the two co...
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Finmin says economic recovery remains intact amid regional conflict, assures uninterrupted fuel supply

Minister for Finance and Revenue Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb on Saturday said Pakistan’s economy continued to show signs of recovery despite ongoing regional tensions , citing strong growth in large-scale manufacturing, exports, remittances and foreign investment inflows. Addressing a news conference alongside Minister for Petroleum Ali Pervaiz Malik, the finance minister said the country’s large-scale manufacturing (LSM) sector recorded 11 per cent year-on-year growth in April, while cumulative growth during the first nine months of the current fiscal year stood at 6.5pc. He said the government expected the GDP growth rate to remain close to 4pc during the current fiscal year, compared to 3.1pc last year. Exports have grown by 9pc month-on-month and 14pc year-on-year, driven by value-added textiles, IT and other sectors, he said, adding that the export growth was broad-based. Highlighting overseas inflows, Aurangzeb said remittances reached $3.5 billion in April after touching $3.8...
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Pakistan expands US lobbying push with focus on defence, critical minerals and policy influence

WASHINGTON: Pakistan has significantly expanded its lobbying and strategic communications footprint in the United States, signing a new $1.2 million contract with a Washington-based advisory firm as it seeks deeper engagement on defence cooperation, critical minerals and broader economic diplomacy in an increasingly competitive policy environment. According to filings submitted under the US Foreign Agents Registration Act (FARA), Ervin Graves Strategy Group LLC registered on May 1 as an official foreign agent of Pakistan’s embassy in Washington under a two-year contract valued at $1.2m, requiring payments of $50,000 per month for its services. FARA requires the public listing of all lobbyists or lobbying firms working for a foreign entity, including governments and private corporations. The agreement tasks the firm with a wide-ranging mandate that includes lobbying US policymakers, government-relations work, legislative monitoring, stakeholder engagement, media messaging, think t...
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Security forces kill five terrorists in Tank, DI Khan in IBOs: ISPR

Security forces killed five terrorists in two separate engagements in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s Tank and Dera Ismail Khan districts, said the Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) on Friday. In Tank district, an intelligence-based operation was conducted on the reported presence of khwarij. “During conduct of the operation, own troops effectively engaged khwarij location and after intense exchange of fire, four khwarij, belonging to Indian-sponsored Fitna-al-Khwarij were sent to hell,” said the military media wing. Fitna al Khawarij is a term the state uses for terrorists belonging to the banned Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan. In another IBO conducted in DI Khan district, a terrorist was killed during a firefight with security forces. The ISPR said the IBOs were conducted on May 7-8. “Weapons and ammunition have also been recovered from killed Indian sponsored khwarij, who remained actively involved in numerous terrorist activities in the area.” A sanitisation operation is being conduc...
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Quadcopter attack in KP's Bannu injures 8, including women

BANNU: A powerful explosion, following the reported crash of a quadcopter drone, injured eight people, including women, in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s Bannu district on Friday night. Security agencies immediately launched an investigation into the matter as panic spread in the area. According to police, the drone flew into the area from an unknown location and exploded shortly after falling near a residential area, leaving several people injured. Local residents rushed to the scene and shifted the injured to the District Headquarters Hospital Bannu after initially providing first aid. The administration at the District Headquarters Hospital confirmed that all injured individuals are receiving medical treatment, while some are said to be in critical condition. Meanwhile, security sources said the incident is being investigated from multiple angles to determine the nature of the explosion, the origin of the drone, and possible motives. Local residents expressed deep concern over the incid...
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A year ago today: Indian 'kamikaze drones' intercepted

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The week of May 6 - May 10 marks the first anniversary of the brief military conflict between Pakistan and India. The conflict was sparked by the April 22 Pahalgam attack on tourists in India-occupied Kashmir, which New Delhi, without evidence, linked to Pakistan. In a dangerous escalation, New Delhi launched deadly air strikes in Punjab and Azad Kashmir on May 7. Pakistan retaliated by downing five Indian planes in air-to-air combat, later raising the tally to seven . Following tit-for-tat strikes on each other’s airbases, and the launch of Pakistan Army’s Operation Bunyanum Marsoos, both sides agreed to a ceasefire on May 10 after American intervention. The Pakistan Army named the period of conflict from April 22-May 10 “Marka-i-Haq”. Throughout the week, Dawn will be sharing daily headlines from the brief conflict when tensions between both countries reached a boiling point. Here’s a look at Dawn’s front page published on May 9, 2025. from...
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How South Asian military calculus has changed after May 2025

• Air power increasingly central to modern battlefield planning; lessons from Ukraine, Middle East wars show primacy of drones, satellites and jamming capabilities on modern battlefield • Both sides realise conventional escalation still possible without breaching nuclear threshold • China now figures more prominently in New Delhi’s military calculations about Pakistan ONE YEAR on, the four-day India-Pakistan conflict of May 2025 has increasingly come to be seen by military circles on both sides as not simply another skirmish between two nuclear rivals, but rather the beginning of a new phase in their military rivalry. The conflict reinforced some long-held assumptions, overturned others, and convinced policymakers in New Delhi and Rawalpindi that future confrontations are likely to unfold faster, strike deeper and depend far more heavily on technology, precision and integration than any previous wars or conflicts between the two. “Lessons would have been learnt by both sides becaus...
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